Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Jarnkrok 51.1% (-2.9%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 58.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 58.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 50.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Nelson
Jarnkrok
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Jarnkrok
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
52.6% (19)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (205)
55.0% (20)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarnkrok shoots right. Nelson is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Nelson shoots left. Jarnkrok is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Nelson
Jarnkrok
Home
52.9% (654)
63.2% (19)
Away
48.9% (658)
45.0% (20)
By Period
Nelson
Jarnkrok
P1
48.4%
50.0%
P2
54.3%
66.7%
P3
50.5%
46.2%
Final 5 min
51.9%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Jarnkrok
48.0%▬
48.0%
53.8%