Brock Nelson vs Connor Bedard

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Brock Nelson holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Nelson wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Nelson 48.1% vs Bedard 40.9% (+7.8%)
H2H factor Nelson leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone Nelson 92.1%
Defensive zone Nelson 83.6%
Neutral zone Nelson 91.4%
Result Brock Nelson favored at 88.5%
88.5%
11.5%
Nelson Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
8 - 2 (10 meetings)
8
2
Nelson Bedard
Last 10: Nelson 8-2 Bedard

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson Bedard
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
0
Nelson Bedard
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson Bedard
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Nelson
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (9,510)
39.7% (1,413)
+8.1%
Power Play
54.1% (1,082)
51.5% (68)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (728)
45.5% (22)
-2.0%
On even strength, Nelson has a +8.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Nelson is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,964).
Nelson shoots left. Bedard is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,103).
Home / Away
Nelson
Bedard
Home
49.8% (5,696)
42.9% (707)
Away
46.4% (5,625)
38.1% (796)
By Period
Nelson
Bedard
P1
48.6%
38.3%
P2
48.4%
39.8%
P3
47.4%
43.1%
OT
46.4%
38.9%
Final 5 min
47.4%
45.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%
46.0%
48.1%
Bedard
32.0%
47.5%
40.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Nov 23, 2025 3 14:05 Neutral Brock Nelson
Nov 23, 2025 2 18:37 Offensive Brock Nelson
Nov 23, 2025 2 18:21 Neutral Connor Bedard
Apr 2, 2025 3 19:40 Offensive Brock Nelson
Apr 2, 2025 2 00:36 Defensive Brock Nelson
Mar 10, 2025 3 14:39 Offensive Connor Bedard
Mar 10, 2025 2 06:46 Neutral Brock Nelson
Dec 15, 2024 3 15:42 Defensive Brock Nelson
Dec 12, 2024 3 11:51 Defensive Brock Nelson
Apr 2, 2024 1 13:05 Defensive Brock Nelson