Brock Nelson vs Cutter Gauthier
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gauthier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Gauthier 47.7% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gauthier 69.5%
Defensive zone
Nelson 77.9%
Neutral zone
Gauthier 51.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Nelson
Gauthier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Nelson
Gauthier
Last 6: Nelson 3-3 Gauthier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gauthier
0
3
Nelson
Gauthier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
0
Nelson
Gauthier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Gauthier
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,744)
43.2% (162)
+4.7%
Power Play
54.7% (1,149)
52.6% (97)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (790)
50.0% (4)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Gauthier has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gauthier shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,584).
Nelson shoots left. Gauthier is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (170).
Home / Away
Nelson
Gauthier
Home
50.1% (5,878)
53.3% (120)
Away
46.5% (5,806)
41.3% (143)
By Period
Nelson
Gauthier
P1
48.7%
43.8%
P2
48.6%
48.8%
P3
47.7%
47.4%
OT
45.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.0%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
48.3%
Gauthier
48.0%▼
50.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 05:35 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 03:00 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 13:20 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:23 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |