Scouting Report
Dominic Toninato holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Toninato 50.0% (-2.7%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 58.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 61.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 55.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Nelson
Toninato
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Toninato
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
52.9% (17)
-6.0%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
0.0% (1)
+57.4%
On power play, Nelson has a +57.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toninato shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Toninato is 62.5% vs left-shot opponents (8).
Home / Away
Nelson
Toninato
Home
48.9% (521)
0.0% (1)
Away
45.5% (516)
52.9% (17)
By Period
Nelson
Toninato
P1
45.9%
25.0%
P2
48.0%
40.0%
P3
48.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.3%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
47.3%
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%