Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Strome 58.3% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 67.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 78.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 59.3%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Nelson
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Nelson
Strome
Last 5: Nelson 2-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
3
Nelson
Strome
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
56.4% (890)
-5.5%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
66.9% (311)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (205)
41.7% (12)
+1.7%
On power play, Strome has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Nelson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Nelson shoots left. Strome is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (822).
Home / Away
Nelson
Strome
Home
52.9% (654)
55.7% (627)
Away
48.9% (658)
62.5% (586)
By Period
Nelson
Strome
P1
48.4%
61.7%
P2
54.3%
55.7%
P3
50.5%
60.1%
OT
41.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
58.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 17:11 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 19:34 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 06:46 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |