Brock Nelson vs Elias Pettersson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Pettersson 46.0% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 22-19 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 52.4%
Defensive zone
Nelson 66.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 62.1%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Nelson
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
19
(41 meetings)
22
19
Nelson
Pettersson
Last 10: Nelson 4-6 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
5
9
Nelson
Pettersson
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
8
7
Nelson
Pettersson
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
9
3
Nelson
Pettersson
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,744)
45.3% (4,613)
+2.6%
Power Play
54.7% (1,149)
54.5% (554)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (790)
38.7% (243)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,584).
Nelson shoots left. Pettersson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,640).
Home / Away
Nelson
Pettersson
Home
50.1% (5,878)
46.8% (2,757)
Away
46.5% (5,806)
45.2% (2,653)
By Period
Nelson
Pettersson
P1
48.7%
44.7%
P2
48.6%
46.1%
P3
47.7%
47.4%
OT
45.6%
39.7%
Final 5 min
48.0%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
48.3%
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 18:14 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:49 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:41 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 16:00 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 11:10 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 09:45 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 09:32 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 19:38 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 08:12 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:23 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 16:03 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 18:47 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 07:30 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 00:43 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |