Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Haula 49.7% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 65.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 64.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 61.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Nelson
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Nelson
Haula
Last 10: Nelson 7-3 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
1
Nelson
Haula
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
1
Nelson
Haula
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
0
2
Nelson
Haula
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
49.9% (747)
+1.0%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
53.8% (78)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (205)
42.4% (66)
+1.0%
On power play, Nelson has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Nelson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Nelson shoots left. Haula is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Nelson
Haula
Home
52.9% (654)
48.5% (468)
Away
48.9% (658)
51.1% (423)
By Period
Nelson
Haula
P1
48.4%
52.5%
P2
54.3%
51.1%
P3
50.5%
45.9%
OT
41.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 01:24 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 01:19 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:47 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 04:13 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 10:55 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 10:38 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 08:11 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 01:12 | Neutral | Erik Haula |