Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Haula 52.3% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 23-22 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 56.8%
Defensive zone
Haula 55.8%
Neutral zone
Haula 50.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Nelson
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
23
(45 meetings)
22
23
Nelson
Haula
Last 10: Nelson 7-3 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
10
8
Nelson
Haula
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
10
6
Nelson
Haula
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
2
9
Nelson
Haula
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,744)
52.8% (7,726)
-4.9%
Power Play
54.7% (1,149)
57.3% (607)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (790)
43.4% (798)
+0.4%
On even strength, Haula has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,584).
Nelson shoots left. Haula is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (5,827).
Home / Away
Nelson
Haula
Home
50.1% (5,878)
53.4% (4,520)
Away
46.5% (5,806)
51.3% (4,611)
By Period
Nelson
Haula
P1
48.7%
53.2%
P2
48.6%
51.4%
P3
47.7%
52.6%
OT
45.6%
43.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
48.3%
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 01:24 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 01:19 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:47 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 04:13 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 10:55 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 10:38 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 08:11 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 01:12 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 06:22 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 12:40 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 10:10 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 19:07 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 04:56 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Erik Haula |