Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Rodrigues 46.3% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 74.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 70.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 64.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Nelson
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Nelson
Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Rodrigues
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
45.6% (250)
+5.7%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
40.0% (30)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
50.0% (2)
+1.9%
On power play, Nelson has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Nelson is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Nelson shoots left. Rodrigues is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Nelson
Rodrigues
Home
52.5% (590)
46.5% (142)
Away
51.7% (619)
43.6% (140)
By Period
Nelson
Rodrigues
P1
50.5%
42.9%
P2
54.4%
50.0%
P3
51.4%
42.4%
OT
47.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
52.1%
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 18:40 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |