Scouting Report
Fraser Minten holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Minten shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Minten 49.6% (-3.4%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 62.6%
Defensive zone
Minten 52.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Nelson
Minten
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Minten
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
48.6% (35)
-2.5%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
0.0% (1)
+34.5%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
100.0% (1)
-69.6%
On penalty kill, Minten has a +69.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Minten shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Nelson shoots left. Minten is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (27).
Home / Away
Nelson
Minten
Home
48.7% (419)
53.8% (26)
Away
41.3% (368)
36.4% (11)
By Period
Nelson
Minten
P1
44.6%
53.3%
P2
47.3%
57.1%
P3
43.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
14.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
45.2%
Minten
52.0%▲
50.0%
48.6%