Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.6% vs Lapierre 42.9% (+10.1%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 51.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 55.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 53.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Nelson
Lapierre
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (694)
39.7% (204)
+10.3%
Power Play
56.3% (112)
33.3% (3)
+23.0%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (143)
0.0% (1)
+42.0%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +42.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots left. Nelson is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Nelson shoots left. Lapierre is 34.0% vs left-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Nelson
Lapierre
Home
50.4% (472)
44.3% (106)
Away
48.6% (477)
34.3% (102)
By Period
Nelson
Lapierre
P1
47.2%
55.1%
P2
53.4%
39.2%
P3
47.8%
23.1%
Final 5 min
47.6%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
49.5%
Lapierre
34.0%▼
40.5%
39.4%