Brock Nelson vs Hendrix Lapierre

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Brock Nelson holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Nelson 48.3% vs Lapierre 40.3% (+9.5%)
H2H factor Nelson leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone Nelson 67.4%
Defensive zone Nelson 78.1%
Neutral zone Nelson 81.9%
Result Brock Nelson favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Nelson Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 4 (10 meetings)
6
4
Nelson Lapierre
Last 10: Nelson 6-4 Lapierre

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
2
Nelson Lapierre
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson Lapierre
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson Lapierre
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Nelson
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,744)
39.1% (660)
+8.8%
Power Play
54.7% (1,149)
28.6% (14)
+26.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (790)
0.0% (1)
+43.8%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +43.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Lapierre shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,584).
Nelson shoots left. Lapierre is 37.1% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Nelson
Lapierre
Home
50.1% (5,878)
39.1% (366)
Away
46.5% (5,806)
38.5% (309)
By Period
Nelson
Lapierre
P1
48.7%
47.2%
P2
48.6%
38.7%
P3
47.7%
29.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
33.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%
55.5%
48.3%
Lapierre
50.0%
41.0%
38.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 22, 2026 1 16:37 Offensive Hendrix Lapierre
Dec 20, 2023 3 12:02 Neutral Brock Nelson
Dec 20, 2023 3 09:39 Defensive Hendrix Lapierre
Dec 20, 2023 3 01:42 Offensive Brock Nelson
Dec 20, 2023 2 06:14 Defensive Brock Nelson
Dec 20, 2023 2 06:01 Neutral Hendrix Lapierre
Dec 20, 2023 1 06:01 Defensive Brock Nelson
Nov 2, 2023 3 02:51 Offensive Brock Nelson
Nov 2, 2023 3 02:44 Offensive Brock Nelson
Nov 2, 2023 1 12:45 Offensive Hendrix Lapierre