Brock Nelson vs Hendrix Lapierre
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Lapierre 40.3% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 67.4%
Defensive zone
Nelson 78.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 81.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Nelson
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Nelson
Lapierre
Last 10: Nelson 6-4 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
2
Nelson
Lapierre
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Lapierre
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Lapierre
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,744)
39.1% (660)
+8.8%
Power Play
54.7% (1,149)
28.6% (14)
+26.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (790)
0.0% (1)
+43.8%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +43.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,584).
Nelson shoots left. Lapierre is 37.1% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Nelson
Lapierre
Home
50.1% (5,878)
39.1% (366)
Away
46.5% (5,806)
38.5% (309)
By Period
Nelson
Lapierre
P1
48.7%
47.2%
P2
48.6%
38.7%
P3
47.7%
29.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
48.3%
Lapierre
50.0%▲
41.0%
38.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 16:37 | Offensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 3 | 12:02 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 3 | 09:39 | Defensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 3 | 01:42 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 2 | 06:01 | Neutral | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 1 | 06:01 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 02:44 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 12:45 | Offensive | Hendrix Lapierre |