Scouting Report
Jack Roslovic holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Roslovic 52.1% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 57.1%
Defensive zone
Nelson 70.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 56.7%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Nelson
Roslovic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Nelson
Roslovic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
0
2
Nelson
Roslovic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Roslovic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Roslovic
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
52.5% (219)
-1.6%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
57.9% (19)
+1.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roslovic shoots right. Nelson is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Nelson shoots left. Roslovic is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Nelson
Roslovic
Home
52.9% (654)
49.6% (121)
Away
48.9% (658)
56.4% (117)
By Period
Nelson
Roslovic
P1
48.4%
52.2%
P2
54.3%
56.6%
P3
50.5%
50.6%
OT
41.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 14:22 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 00:12 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 05:54 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |