Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Beagle 55.9% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 80.2%
Defensive zone
Beagle 66.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 65.1%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Nelson
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Nelson
Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Beagle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
2
Nelson
Beagle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
57.2% (353)
-7.3%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
87.5% (16)
-34.7%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
51.6% (95)
-23.0%
On power play, Beagle has a +34.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Nelson shoots left. Beagle is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Nelson
Beagle
Home
49.8% (458)
62.0% (200)
Away
49.0% (506)
53.4% (264)
By Period
Nelson
Beagle
P1
50.1%
55.8%
P2
45.4%
60.1%
P3
52.7%
54.5%
OT
33.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
47.1%
63.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
49.4%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 00:41 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 15:47 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |