Brock Nelson vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Pageau 55.0% (-10.2%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 74.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 74.8%
Neutral zone
Pageau 50.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Nelson
Pageau
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
57.1% (905)
-11.0%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
55.2% (116)
-20.7%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
48.0% (204)
-17.6%
On power play, Pageau has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Nelson is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Nelson shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Nelson
Pageau
Home
48.7% (419)
57.0% (618)
Away
41.3% (368)
53.9% (607)
By Period
Nelson
Pageau
P1
44.6%
54.4%
P2
47.3%
61.0%
P3
43.0%
51.0%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
45.2%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
55.4%