Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Glendening 55.4% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 77.8%
Defensive zone
Glendening 76.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 50.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Nelson
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Nelson
Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Glendening
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
1
Nelson
Glendening
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
58.3% (725)
-12.2%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
50.0% (8)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
48.4% (215)
-18.0%
On penalty kill, Glendening has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Nelson is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Nelson shoots left. Glendening is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Home / Away
Nelson
Glendening
Home
48.7% (419)
55.4% (469)
Away
41.3% (368)
56.6% (479)
By Period
Nelson
Glendening
P1
44.6%
53.5%
P2
47.3%
57.0%
P3
43.0%
58.0%
OT
100.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
39.4%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
45.2%
Glendening
56.0%▲
49.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 19:11 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |