Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Glendening 51.9% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 62.1%
Defensive zone
Glendening 71.3%
Neutral zone
Glendening 54.0%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Nelson
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Nelson
Glendening
Last 6: Nelson 4-2 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Glendening
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
1
2
Nelson
Glendening
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Glendening
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
53.6% (420)
-2.7%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
100.0% (4)
-40.2%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (205)
47.3% (148)
-3.9%
On power play, Glendening has a +40.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Nelson is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Nelson shoots left. Glendening is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (413).
Home / Away
Nelson
Glendening
Home
52.9% (654)
48.0% (256)
Away
48.9% (658)
55.7% (316)
By Period
Nelson
Glendening
P1
48.4%
50.9%
P2
54.3%
51.7%
P3
50.5%
53.3%
OT
41.2%
83.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Glendening
56.0%▲
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:23 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 09:18 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 18:22 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 12:21 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |