Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Rossi 49.7% (+1.3%)
Offensive zone
Rossi 50.6%
Defensive zone
Nelson 55.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 51.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Nelson
Rossi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
51.6% (440)
-0.7%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
35.1% (37)
+24.7%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (205)
37.0% (27)
+6.4%
On power play, Nelson has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Nelson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Nelson shoots left. Rossi is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Nelson
Rossi
Home
52.9% (654)
50.0% (260)
Away
48.9% (658)
49.2% (244)
By Period
Nelson
Rossi
P1
48.4%
53.7%
P2
54.3%
47.6%
P3
50.5%
47.4%
OT
41.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
49.6%