Brock Nelson vs Marco Rossi

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Brock Nelson holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Nelson 48.3% vs Rossi 46.8% (+1.7%)
H2H factor Rossi leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone Rossi 65.7%
Defensive zone Rossi 61.3%
Neutral zone Rossi 65.0%
Result Marco Rossi favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Nelson Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 9 (14 meetings)
5
9
Nelson Rossi
Last 10: Nelson 4-6 Rossi

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
4
Nelson Rossi
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
5
3
Nelson Rossi
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
2
Nelson Rossi
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Nelson
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,744)
46.8% (2,180)
+1.1%
Power Play
54.7% (1,149)
47.1% (189)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (790)
34.1% (44)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +9.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,584).
Nelson shoots left. Rossi is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,558).
Home / Away
Nelson
Rossi
Home
50.1% (5,878)
47.8% (1,225)
Away
46.5% (5,806)
45.4% (1,188)
By Period
Nelson
Rossi
P1
48.7%
47.1%
P2
48.6%
44.7%
P3
47.7%
48.2%
OT
45.6%
45.8%
Final 5 min
48.0%
44.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%
55.5%
48.3%
Rossi
46.0%
51.0%
46.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 11, 2025 3 08:34 Offensive Marco Rossi
Mar 11, 2025 2 17:33 Defensive Marco Rossi
Mar 11, 2025 1 01:20 Offensive Marco Rossi
Feb 8, 2025 3 05:08 Offensive Marco Rossi
Feb 8, 2025 2 17:28 Defensive Brock Nelson
Feb 8, 2025 2 11:56 Defensive Brock Nelson
Feb 8, 2025 2 00:00 Neutral Marco Rossi
Feb 8, 2025 1 13:20 Defensive Brock Nelson
Jan 15, 2024 3 12:38 Defensive Brock Nelson
Jan 15, 2024 1 18:12 Offensive Marco Rossi
Jan 15, 2024 1 15:05 Defensive Brock Nelson
Jan 15, 2024 1 04:30 Defensive Marco Rossi
Jan 15, 2024 1 04:18 Defensive Marco Rossi
Jan 15, 2024 1 00:00 Neutral Marco Rossi