Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Amadio 48.3% (+12.0%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 54.0%
Defensive zone
Nelson 67.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 58.1%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Nelson
Amadio
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Amadio
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
50.0% (14)
+0.9%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
0.0% (1)
+59.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (205)
0.0% (3)
+43.4%
On power play, Nelson has a +59.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Amadio shoots right. Nelson is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Nelson shoots left. Amadio is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Home / Away
Nelson
Amadio
Home
52.9% (654)
50.0% (6)
Away
48.9% (658)
33.3% (12)
By Period
Nelson
Amadio
P1
48.4%
42.9%
P2
54.3%
33.3%
P3
50.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
38.9%