Brock Nelson vs Mikael Granlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 48.6%). Look for Nelson on neutral-zone draws (77% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Granlund 48.6% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 22-17 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 56.9%
Defensive zone
Granlund 57.1%
Neutral zone
Granlund 53.1%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Nelson
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
17
(39 meetings)
22
17
Nelson
Granlund
Last 10: Nelson 8-2 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
3
6
Nelson
Granlund
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
6
7
Nelson
Granlund
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
13
4
Nelson
Granlund
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,744)
48.6% (6,765)
-0.7%
Power Play
54.7% (1,149)
53.0% (760)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (790)
43.6% (635)
+0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,584).
Nelson shoots left. Granlund is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,193).
Home / Away
Nelson
Granlund
Home
50.1% (5,878)
51.0% (3,905)
Away
46.5% (5,806)
46.4% (4,255)
By Period
Nelson
Granlund
P1
48.7%
48.8%
P2
48.6%
48.7%
P3
47.7%
48.5%
OT
45.6%
43.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
48.3%
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 15:11 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 12:50 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 06:42 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 5, 2023 | OT | 00:20 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 10:04 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 02:54 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 14:31 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 07:19 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 03:14 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 03:40 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 13:54 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 2 | 18:48 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |