Brock Nelson vs Morgan Frost

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Morgan Frost holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 18 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Nelson 48.3% vs Frost 50.6% (-2.3%)
H2H factor Frost leads 27-25 in 52 meetings
Offensive zone Frost 63.9%
Defensive zone Nelson 66.5%
Neutral zone Nelson 50.0%
Result Brock Nelson favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Nelson Frost
Head-to-Head Record
25 - 27 (52 meetings)
25
27
Nelson Frost
Last 10: Nelson 6-4 Frost

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
7
11
Nelson Frost
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
10
9
Nelson Frost
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
8
7
Nelson Frost
15 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Nelson
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,744)
49.7% (3,652)
-1.8%
Power Play
54.7% (1,149)
55.4% (632)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (790)
55.0% (40)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +11.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Frost shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,584).
Nelson shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Home / Away
Nelson
Frost
Home
50.1% (5,878)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
46.5% (5,806)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
Nelson
Frost
P1
48.7%
51.2%
P2
48.6%
51.3%
P3
47.7%
48.8%
OT
45.6%
64.9%
Final 5 min
48.0%
49.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%
55.5%
48.3%
Frost
68.0%
63.0%
50.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 30, 2026 3 12:53 Neutral Morgan Frost
Mar 30, 2026 3 10:36 Defensive Brock Nelson
Mar 30, 2026 2 08:09 Defensive Brock Nelson
Mar 30, 2026 1 19:53 Offensive Morgan Frost
Mar 30, 2026 1 01:24 Offensive Brock Nelson
Mar 31, 2025 3 15:51 Offensive Brock Nelson
Mar 31, 2025 3 11:29 Neutral Brock Nelson
Mar 31, 2025 2 17:43 Offensive Morgan Frost
Mar 31, 2025 2 13:17 Neutral Morgan Frost
Mar 31, 2025 2 13:00 Defensive Brock Nelson
Mar 31, 2025 2 09:47 Offensive Brock Nelson
Mar 31, 2025 2 06:36 Defensive Brock Nelson
Mar 31, 2025 1 17:14 Neutral Morgan Frost
Mar 14, 2025 2 12:02 Defensive Morgan Frost
Mar 14, 2025 1 17:39 Defensive Morgan Frost
Mar 14, 2025 1 04:15 Defensive Morgan Frost
Mar 14, 2025 1 03:57 Defensive Brock Nelson
Jan 30, 2025 2 11:06 Offensive Morgan Frost
Jan 30, 2025 2 00:00 Neutral Brock Nelson
Jan 30, 2025 1 12:19 Offensive Morgan Frost