Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 35 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Hischier 52.7% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 48-45 in 93 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 57.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 54.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 53.7%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Nelson
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
45
-
48
(93 meetings)
45
48
Nelson
Hischier
Last 10: Nelson 6-4 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
16
9
Nelson
Hischier
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
16
17
Nelson
Hischier
33 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
13
22
Nelson
Hischier
35 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,744)
51.6% (8,444)
-3.7%
Power Play
54.7% (1,149)
59.9% (1,749)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (790)
49.3% (918)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,584).
Nelson shoots left. Hischier is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,097).
Home / Away
Nelson
Hischier
Home
50.1% (5,878)
53.0% (5,477)
Away
46.5% (5,806)
52.4% (5,634)
By Period
Nelson
Hischier
P1
48.7%
52.9%
P2
48.6%
52.6%
P3
47.7%
52.7%
OT
45.6%
50.6%
Final 5 min
48.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
48.3%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:20 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:08 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:11 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 06:13 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:09 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:28 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:07 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 16:26 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 03:54 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 10:41 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 25, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 18:48 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 18:31 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |