Brock Nelson vs Philipp Kurashev
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kurashev on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Kurashev 44.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kurashev 63.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 55.3%
Neutral zone
Kurashev 61.2%
Result
Philipp Kurashev favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Nelson
Kurashev
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Nelson
Kurashev
Last 9: Nelson 4-5 Kurashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Kurashev
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Kurashev
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kurashev
2
4
Nelson
Kurashev
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Kurashev
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,744)
44.6% (924)
+3.3%
Power Play
54.7% (1,149)
43.6% (156)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (790)
42.1% (38)
+1.7%
On power play, Nelson has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kurashev shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,584).
Nelson shoots left. Kurashev is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Nelson
Kurashev
Home
50.1% (5,878)
44.5% (521)
Away
46.5% (5,806)
44.2% (597)
By Period
Nelson
Kurashev
P1
48.7%
46.1%
P2
48.6%
44.4%
P3
47.7%
42.9%
OT
45.6%
38.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
48.3%
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 09:28 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 12:52 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 3 | 06:38 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Philipp Kurashev |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 2 | 19:14 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Philipp Kurashev |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Philipp Kurashev |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 12:41 | Neutral | Philipp Kurashev |