Brock Nelson vs Quinton Byfield
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Byfield on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Byfield 45.0% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Byfield leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Byfield 54.1%
Defensive zone
Byfield 61.6%
Neutral zone
Byfield 55.4%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Nelson
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
13
(24 meetings)
11
13
Nelson
Byfield
Last 10: Nelson 3-7 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
3
4
Nelson
Byfield
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
5
Nelson
Byfield
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
7
4
Nelson
Byfield
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,744)
45.4% (2,149)
+2.5%
Power Play
54.7% (1,149)
47.8% (113)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (790)
37.8% (230)
+6.0%
On power play, Nelson has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,584).
Nelson shoots left. Byfield is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,656).
Home / Away
Nelson
Byfield
Home
50.1% (5,878)
45.3% (1,183)
Away
46.5% (5,806)
44.4% (1,309)
By Period
Nelson
Byfield
P1
48.7%
45.2%
P2
48.6%
43.7%
P3
47.7%
45.9%
OT
45.6%
40.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
48.3%
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 10:45 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 18:45 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 09:58 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 18:38 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 2 | 08:13 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 2 | 01:27 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 03:45 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 08:54 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 08:44 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 08:36 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 14:04 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:56 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:53 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 09:58 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |