Brock Nelson vs Quinton Byfield
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Byfield on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.1% vs Byfield 43.8% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Byfield leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Byfield 56.7%
Defensive zone
Byfield 61.9%
Neutral zone
Byfield 57.6%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Nelson
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
13
(24 meetings)
11
13
Nelson
Byfield
Last 10: Nelson 3-7 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
3
4
Nelson
Byfield
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
5
Nelson
Byfield
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
7
4
Nelson
Byfield
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (9,510)
44.3% (1,918)
+3.5%
Power Play
54.1% (1,082)
46.2% (106)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (728)
35.4% (212)
+8.1%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Nelson is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (7,357).
Nelson shoots left. Byfield is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,515).
Home / Away
Nelson
Byfield
Home
49.8% (5,696)
44.0% (1,084)
Away
46.4% (5,625)
43.1% (1,152)
By Period
Nelson
Byfield
P1
48.6%
44.0%
P2
48.4%
42.4%
P3
47.4%
44.3%
OT
46.4%
43.2%
Final 5 min
47.4%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
48.1%
Byfield
56.0%▲
47.5%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 10:45 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 18:45 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 09:58 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 18:38 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 2 | 08:13 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 2 | 01:27 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 03:45 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 08:54 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 08:44 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 08:36 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 14:04 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:56 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:53 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 09:58 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |