Scouting Report
Scott Laughton holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Laughton 55.9% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 71.5%
Defensive zone
Laughton 83.6%
Neutral zone
Laughton 56.7%
Result
Scott Laughton favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Nelson
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Nelson
Laughton
Last 9: Nelson 5-4 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
1
Nelson
Laughton
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
1
3
Nelson
Laughton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
54.5% (488)
-3.6%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
85.7% (7)
-25.9%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (205)
63.4% (142)
-20.0%
On power play, Laughton has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Nelson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Nelson shoots left. Laughton is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
Nelson
Laughton
Home
52.9% (654)
57.5% (275)
Away
48.9% (658)
56.4% (362)
By Period
Nelson
Laughton
P1
48.4%
56.0%
P2
54.3%
61.8%
P3
50.5%
52.1%
OT
41.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 16:34 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 15:43 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 01:04 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 00:53 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 17:18 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 04:31 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |