Scouting Report
Scott Laughton holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Laughton on defensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Laughton 50.4% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Laughton leads 45-34 in 79 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 66.7%
Defensive zone
Laughton 52.8%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Nelson
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
45
(79 meetings)
34
45
Nelson
Laughton
Last 10: Nelson 6-4 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
17
14
Nelson
Laughton
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
8
17
Nelson
Laughton
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Laughton
9
14
Nelson
Laughton
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,744)
50.8% (5,416)
-2.9%
Power Play
54.7% (1,149)
53.0% (330)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (790)
46.7% (892)
-2.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,584).
Nelson shoots left. Laughton is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,362).
Home / Away
Nelson
Laughton
Home
50.1% (5,878)
51.2% (3,267)
Away
46.5% (5,806)
49.6% (3,371)
By Period
Nelson
Laughton
P1
48.7%
49.3%
P2
48.6%
53.0%
P3
47.7%
49.0%
OT
45.6%
39.6%
Final 5 min
48.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
48.3%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 16:34 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 15:43 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 01:04 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 00:53 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 17:18 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 04:31 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 1 | 17:57 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 1 | 11:14 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 1 | 09:13 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 07:37 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 13:20 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |