Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Couturier 54.5% (-6.2%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 68.5%
Defensive zone
Couturier 64.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 50.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Nelson
Couturier
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
57.4% (303)
-7.5%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
65.5% (55)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
40.0% (70)
-11.4%
On power play, Couturier has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Couturier is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Nelson
Couturier
Home
49.8% (458)
54.3% (219)
Away
49.0% (506)
56.9% (209)
By Period
Nelson
Couturier
P1
50.1%
53.2%
P2
45.4%
54.8%
P3
52.7%
57.9%
OT
33.3%
71.4%
Final 5 min
47.1%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
49.4%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
55.6%