Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Wright 45.8% (+15.0%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 57.2%
Defensive zone
Wright 52.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 56.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Nelson
Wright
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
32.3% (31)
+14.6%
On even strength, Nelson has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Nelson is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Nelson shoots left. Wright is 31.8% vs left-shot opponents (22).
Home / Away
Nelson
Wright
Home
48.9% (521)
38.5% (13)
Away
45.5% (516)
27.8% (18)
By Period
Nelson
Wright
P1
45.9%
40.0%
P2
48.0%
37.5%
P3
48.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
47.3%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
32.3%