Brock Nelson vs Sidney Crosby

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Sidney Crosby holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 67 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Nelson 48.3% vs Crosby 53.5% (-5.2%)
H2H factor Crosby leads 100-84 in 184 meetings
Offensive zone Nelson 56.3%
Defensive zone Nelson 69.7%
Neutral zone Nelson 62.1%
Result Brock Nelson favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Nelson Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
84 - 100 (184 meetings)
84
100
Nelson Crosby
Last 10: Nelson 5-5 Crosby

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
26
31
Nelson Crosby
57 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
31
29
Nelson Crosby
60 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
27
40
Nelson Crosby
67 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Nelson
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,744)
52.8% (18,031)
-4.9%
Power Play
54.7% (1,149)
57.4% (4,741)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (790)
47.0% (766)
-3.2%
On even strength, Crosby has a +4.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,584).
Nelson shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,886).
Home / Away
Nelson
Crosby
Home
50.1% (5,878)
55.0% (11,998)
Away
46.5% (5,806)
52.0% (11,559)
By Period
Nelson
Crosby
P1
48.7%
53.6%
P2
48.6%
53.8%
P3
47.7%
53.3%
OT
45.6%
49.6%
Final 5 min
48.0%
52.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%
55.5%
48.3%
Crosby
46.0%
54.0%
53.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 24, 2026 3 15:28 Neutral Brock Nelson
Mar 24, 2026 3 02:54 Defensive Brock Nelson
Mar 24, 2026 3 01:57 Offensive Sidney Crosby
Mar 24, 2026 2 17:24 Offensive Brock Nelson
Mar 24, 2026 2 10:09 Offensive Sidney Crosby
Mar 24, 2026 2 07:38 Neutral Sidney Crosby
Dec 29, 2024 3 17:08 Offensive Sidney Crosby
Dec 29, 2024 2 19:39 Offensive Brock Nelson
Dec 29, 2024 2 19:18 Offensive Brock Nelson
Dec 29, 2024 2 11:36 Offensive Sidney Crosby
Dec 29, 2024 2 06:47 Offensive Sidney Crosby
Dec 29, 2024 2 00:06 Defensive Sidney Crosby
Dec 29, 2024 2 00:00 Neutral Brock Nelson
Dec 29, 2024 1 15:34 Defensive Brock Nelson
Dec 29, 2024 1 15:10 Defensive Brock Nelson
Dec 29, 2024 1 00:00 Neutral Sidney Crosby
Dec 28, 2024 3 03:03 Defensive Sidney Crosby
Dec 28, 2024 3 00:00 Neutral Sidney Crosby
Dec 28, 2024 2 16:07 Neutral Brock Nelson
Dec 28, 2024 2 04:44 Offensive Brock Nelson