Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Blueger 52.7% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 85.0%
Defensive zone
Blueger 71.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 56.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Nelson
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Nelson
Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
2
Nelson
Blueger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
53.9% (529)
-4.0%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
50.0% (6)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
50.4% (137)
-21.8%
On penalty kill, Blueger has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Blueger is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Nelson
Blueger
Home
49.8% (458)
54.3% (335)
Away
49.0% (506)
51.9% (337)
By Period
Nelson
Blueger
P1
50.1%
50.3%
P2
45.4%
55.2%
P3
52.7%
53.5%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
49.4%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 03:46 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |