Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Blueger 48.1% (+3.4%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 72.8%
Defensive zone
Blueger 61.9%
Neutral zone
Blueger 52.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Nelson
Blueger
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
49.4% (265)
+1.5%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
66.7% (9)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (205)
34.0% (50)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Nelson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Nelson shoots left. Blueger is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Nelson
Blueger
Home
52.9% (654)
49.8% (215)
Away
48.9% (658)
43.1% (109)
By Period
Nelson
Blueger
P1
48.4%
46.4%
P2
54.3%
50.4%
P3
50.5%
44.8%
OT
41.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
47.5%