Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Nylander 49.8% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nylander 58.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 68.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.4%
Result
William Nylander favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Nelson
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Nelson
Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nylander
0
1
Nelson
Nylander
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Nylander
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
48.9% (133)
+2.4%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
55.0% (20)
+3.7%
On power play, Nelson has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Nelson is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Nelson shoots left. Nylander is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Nelson
Nylander
Home
52.5% (590)
48.6% (105)
Away
51.7% (619)
52.1% (48)
By Period
Nelson
Nylander
P1
50.5%
52.1%
P2
54.4%
46.3%
P3
51.4%
50.0%
OT
47.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
52.1%
Nylander
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 18:08 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | William Nylander |