Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Nylander 44.2% (+14.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nylander 77.7%
Defensive zone
Nelson 69.2%
Neutral zone
Nylander 53.9%
Result
William Nylander favored at 77.7%
22.3%
77.7%
Nelson
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nelson
Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nylander
0
1
Nelson
Nylander
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
39.4% (66)
+11.5%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
0.0% (6)
+59.8%
On power play, Nelson has a +59.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Nelson is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Nelson shoots left. Nylander is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (47).
Home / Away
Nelson
Nylander
Home
52.9% (654)
42.1% (38)
Away
48.9% (658)
29.4% (34)
By Period
Nelson
Nylander
P1
48.4%
33.3%
P2
54.3%
32.3%
P3
50.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
18.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Nylander
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 08:07 | Offensive | William Nylander |