Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 49.6% vs Tavares 58.7% (-10.1%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 74.0%
Defensive zone
Tavares 59.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 51.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Jarnkrok
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (82)
59.2% (1,035)
-5.5%
Power Play
10.0% (10)
60.0% (310)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
42.9% (7)
+7.1%
On power play, Tavares has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Jarnkrok is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (101).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Tavares is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Tavares
Home
50.7% (71)
57.5% (668)
Away
47.5% (61)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Tavares
P1
52.1%
58.0%
P2
40.5%
60.1%
P3
56.1%
61.0%
OT
0.0%
27.8%
Final 5 min
56.7%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.2%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
59.3%