Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.1% vs Tavares 56.8% (-3.5%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 78.9%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 61.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 56.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Jarnkrok
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (19)
57.7% (975)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (20)
52.2% (23)
+2.8%
On even strength, Tavares has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Jarnkrok is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Tavares is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (437).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Tavares
Home
63.2% (19)
57.4% (636)
Away
45.0% (20)
57.2% (612)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Tavares
P1
50.0%
57.5%
P2
66.7%
56.9%
P3
46.2%
57.5%
Final 5 min
36.4%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
48.0%▬
48.0%
53.8%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%