Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +18.4% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 47.4% vs Toews 61.9% (-18.4%)
Offensive zone
Toews 66.2%
Defensive zone
Toews 67.7%
Neutral zone
Toews 54.8%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Jarnkrok
Toews
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (56)
61.1% (650)
-20.0%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
71.9% (192)
-21.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
59.6% (99)
-9.6%
On power play, Toews has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Jarnkrok is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (80).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Toews is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Toews
Home
55.3% (47)
64.8% (560)
Away
34.0% (47)
60.6% (381)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Toews
P1
33.3%
62.3%
P2
50.0%
63.9%
P3
48.5%
62.8%
Final 5 min
40.0%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.7%
Toews
52.0%▼
58.0%
63.1%