Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.1% vs Toews 60.4% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 89.5%
Defensive zone
Toews 68.8%
Neutral zone
Toews 77.9%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Jarnkrok
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Jarnkrok
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
0
Jarnkrok
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (19)
62.6% (728)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (20)
46.9% (32)
+8.1%
On even strength, Toews has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Jarnkrok is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Toews is 71.3% vs right-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Toews
Home
63.2% (19)
61.1% (455)
Away
45.0% (20)
62.1% (448)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Toews
P1
50.0%
59.7%
P2
66.7%
66.7%
P3
46.2%
58.4%
Final 5 min
36.4%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
48.0%▬
48.0%
53.8%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 08:04 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |