Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 49.6% vs Rossi 45.3% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 50.8%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 54.6%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 57.7%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Jarnkrok
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Jarnkrok
Rossi
Last 5: Jarnkrok 3-2 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
0
Jarnkrok
Rossi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
2
Jarnkrok
Rossi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
0
Jarnkrok
Rossi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (82)
44.5% (701)
+9.2%
Power Play
10.0% (10)
56.1% (41)
-46.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
0.0% (7)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Jarnkrok is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (101).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Rossi is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Rossi
Home
50.7% (71)
46.8% (385)
Away
47.5% (61)
42.6% (364)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Rossi
P1
52.1%
42.8%
P2
40.5%
43.9%
P3
56.1%
47.4%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
37.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.2%
Rossi
52.0%▲
49.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 16:13 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 12:35 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |