Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 48.1% vs Rossi 46.5% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 51.6%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 61.7%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 55.1%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Jarnkrok
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Jarnkrok
Rossi
Last 5: Jarnkrok 3-2 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
0
Jarnkrok
Rossi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
2
Jarnkrok
Rossi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
0
Jarnkrok
Rossi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (3,352)
46.6% (2,023)
+2.7%
Power Play
51.9% (258)
47.6% (185)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (625)
32.6% (43)
+7.6%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Jarnkrok is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,965).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Rossi is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (797).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Rossi
Home
50.6% (2,253)
47.1% (1,122)
Away
45.3% (1,982)
45.6% (1,129)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Rossi
P1
47.8%
47.0%
P2
48.0%
44.5%
P3
48.8%
47.6%
OT
40.5%
47.8%
Final 5 min
48.8%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Rossi
52.0%▲
49.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 16:13 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 12:35 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |