Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 48.1% vs Rossi 46.8% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 52.4%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 62.2%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 55.2%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Jarnkrok
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Jarnkrok
Rossi
Last 5: Jarnkrok 3-2 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
0
Jarnkrok
Rossi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
2
Jarnkrok
Rossi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
0
Jarnkrok
Rossi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (3,357)
46.8% (2,180)
+2.4%
Power Play
51.9% (258)
47.1% (189)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (643)
34.1% (44)
+6.3%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Jarnkrok is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,987).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Rossi is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Rossi
Home
50.5% (2,262)
47.8% (1,225)
Away
45.3% (1,996)
45.4% (1,188)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Rossi
P1
47.7%
47.1%
P2
48.0%
44.7%
P3
48.8%
48.2%
OT
40.5%
45.8%
Final 5 min
48.6%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.1%
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 16:13 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 12:35 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |