Calle Jarnkrok vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.1% vs MacKinnon 51.0% (+2.7%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 73.1%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 60.2%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 52.2%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (19)
49.7% (1,038)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (20)
34.4% (32)
+20.6%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Jarnkrok is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (6).
Jarnkrok shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
Home
63.2% (19)
53.1% (618)
Away
45.0% (20)
49.1% (609)
By Period
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
P1
50.0%
49.3%
P2
66.7%
53.0%
P3
46.2%
50.7%
Final 5 min
36.4%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
48.0%▬
48.0%
53.8%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%