Calle Jarnkrok vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 48.1% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 19-14 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 65.9%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 56.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 54.2%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
19
(33 meetings)
14
19
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
Last 10: Jarnkrok 5-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
5
6
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
5
3
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
4
10
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (3,357)
46.1% (11,264)
+3.1%
Power Play
51.9% (258)
53.2% (1,421)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (643)
42.8% (502)
-2.4%
On even strength, Jarnkrok has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Jarnkrok is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,271).
Jarnkrok shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,651).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
Home
50.5% (2,262)
49.7% (6,471)
Away
45.3% (1,996)
43.9% (6,717)
By Period
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
P1
47.7%
47.4%
P2
48.0%
46.6%
P3
48.8%
46.1%
OT
40.5%
48.4%
Final 5 min
48.6%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.1%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 07:51 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 15:33 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 7, 2018 | 1 | 13:15 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 1 | 06:34 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 07:07 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 1 | 16:48 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 2 | 03:08 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 17:43 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 03:28 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 1 | 18:39 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 3 | 09:03 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 2 | 15:57 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |