Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 46.8% vs Hertl 52.3% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rowney 64.3%
Defensive zone
Rowney 70.7%
Neutral zone
Rowney 63.8%
Result
Carter Rowney favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Rowney
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Rowney
Hertl
Last 6: Rowney 2-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Rowney
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rowney
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Rowney
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (158)
51.6% (1,084)
-5.4%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
61.0% (246)
-61.0%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
44.1% (136)
-27.4%
On power play, Hertl has a +61.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Rowney is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (124).
Rowney shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Rowney
Hertl
Home
46.5% (114)
55.2% (696)
Away
41.2% (51)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Rowney
Hertl
P1
50.0%
55.4%
P2
45.1%
54.8%
P3
39.6%
48.9%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.6%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
44.8%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 02:04 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 17:50 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 13:48 | Offensive | Carter Rowney |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 13:40 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |