Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 49.2% vs Hertl 54.3% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 79.6%
Defensive zone
Rowney 67.1%
Neutral zone
Hertl 57.6%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Rowney
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Rowney
Hertl
Last 10: Rowney 5-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
3
Rowney
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
3
1
Rowney
Hertl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rowney
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (924)
53.9% (8,303)
-4.5%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
59.2% (1,995)
-19.2%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (208)
46.3% (806)
+2.3%
On power play, Hertl has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Rowney is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (791).
Rowney shoots right. Hertl is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,142).
Home / Away
Rowney
Hertl
Home
50.4% (577)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
47.9% (560)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Rowney
Hertl
P1
50.1%
53.6%
P2
47.9%
54.2%
P3
49.3%
55.3%
OT
60.0%
46.9%
Final 5 min
46.2%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.2%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 02:04 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 17:50 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 13:48 | Offensive | Carter Rowney |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 13:40 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 13:56 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 08:08 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |