Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +18.3% FO% edge overall. Verhaeghe wins 34.3% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Verhaeghe 43.5% vs Paul 53.6% (-18.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Verhaeghe 72.2%
Defensive zone
Paul 69.0%
Neutral zone
Verhaeghe 58.8%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Verhaeghe
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Verhaeghe
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Verhaeghe
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Verhaeghe
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (61)
53.7% (354)
-17.6%
Power Play
36.0% (25)
59.0% (61)
-23.0%
On power play, Paul has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Verhaeghe is 34.3% vs left-shot opponents (67).
Verhaeghe shoots left. Paul is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Verhaeghe
Paul
Home
33.3% (36)
55.1% (216)
Away
38.0% (50)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Verhaeghe
Paul
P1
43.8%
54.9%
P2
31.3%
54.5%
P3
33.3%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
43.8%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Verhaeghe
34.0%▼
39.0%
36.0%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 10:53 | Defensive | Nick Paul |