Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.1% vs Larkin 52.2% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 62.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 55.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 59.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Cizikas
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Cizikas
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
2
Cizikas
Larkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (554)
51.1% (915)
+4.1%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
59.4% (261)
+40.6%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
48.2% (168)
-1.7%
On power play, Cizikas has a +40.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Cizikas shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Larkin
Home
54.8% (301)
51.7% (686)
Away
54.8% (299)
53.0% (658)
By Period
Cizikas
Larkin
P1
58.7%
52.5%
P2
56.1%
52.7%
P3
50.5%
51.4%
OT
33.3%
61.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.8%
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 16:50 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 13:23 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |