Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 52.7%). Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 28 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Larkin 52.7% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 35-23 in 58 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 70.2%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 77.1%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 53.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Cizikas
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
35
(58 meetings)
23
35
Cizikas
Larkin
Last 10: Cizikas 4-6 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
23
Cizikas
Larkin
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
11
8
Cizikas
Larkin
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
7
4
Cizikas
Larkin
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (8,976)
51.6% (9,056)
+1.9%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
58.6% (2,140)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,896)
50.2% (1,124)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Cizikas is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,167).
Cizikas shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,876).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Larkin
Home
53.8% (5,529)
53.9% (6,277)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
51.4% (6,043)
By Period
Cizikas
Larkin
P1
53.1%
52.7%
P2
51.1%
53.1%
P3
51.8%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
58.4%
Final 5 min
50.7%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
51.9%
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 16:50 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 13:23 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 05:42 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 13:31 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 08:17 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 16:32 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 08:26 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 04:57 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 05:04 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:41 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 15:27 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 16:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 12:38 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 04:39 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |