Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Finley on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Finley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.9% vs Finley 50.7% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Finley 51.2%
Defensive zone
Finley 65.2%
Neutral zone
Finley 53.9%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Cizikas
Finley
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cizikas
Finley
Last 5: Cizikas 2-3 Finley
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Finley
2
3
Cizikas
Finley
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Finley
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (544)
50.7% (270)
+4.3%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
50.0% (14)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
53.1% (32)
-6.6%
On power play, Cizikas has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Finley shoots right. Cizikas is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (188).
Cizikas shoots left. Finley is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (233).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Finley
Home
54.3% (291)
53.8% (199)
Away
54.8% (299)
46.2% (117)
By Period
Cizikas
Finley
P1
58.3%
54.7%
P2
56.4%
47.4%
P3
49.8%
51.8%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.6%
Finley
64.0%▲
53.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 11:49 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 17:07 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 02:59 | Defensive | Jack Finley |