Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Finley on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Finley 50.3% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Finley 58.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 62.5%
Neutral zone
Finley 51.4%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Cizikas
Finley
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cizikas
Finley
Last 5: Cizikas 2-3 Finley
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Finley
2
3
Cizikas
Finley
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Finley
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (8,976)
50.4% (284)
+3.1%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
50.0% (14)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,896)
51.5% (33)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Finley has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Finley shoots right. Cizikas is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,882).
Cizikas shoots left. Finley is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Finley
Home
53.8% (5,529)
53.8% (199)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
45.5% (132)
By Period
Cizikas
Finley
P1
53.1%
52.8%
P2
51.1%
47.5%
P3
51.8%
51.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
51.9%
Finley
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 11:49 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 17:07 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 02:59 | Defensive | Jack Finley |