Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Finley on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Cizikas wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Finley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.1% vs Finley 50.2% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Finley 51.8%
Defensive zone
Finley 67.0%
Neutral zone
Finley 55.5%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Cizikas
Finley
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cizikas
Finley
Last 5: Cizikas 2-3 Finley
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Finley
2
3
Cizikas
Finley
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Finley
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (554)
50.2% (279)
+5.0%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
50.0% (14)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
51.5% (33)
-5.0%
On power play, Cizikas has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Finley shoots right. Cizikas is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Cizikas shoots left. Finley is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Finley
Home
54.8% (301)
53.8% (199)
Away
54.8% (299)
44.9% (127)
By Period
Cizikas
Finley
P1
58.7%
52.8%
P2
56.1%
47.5%
P3
50.5%
51.3%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.8%
Finley
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 11:49 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 17:07 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 02:59 | Defensive | Jack Finley |